Fairsky
Guide

Will my pipes freeze at 28°F?

Short answer: usually not. The temperature the sources tie to frozen pipes is 20°F and below, for pipes in unheated, uninsulated spaces. At 28°F your plants are in trouble (that's a hard freeze); your pipes mostly aren't, unless they run somewhere cold and drafty.

Where the 20°F number comes from

“for un-insulated pipes installed in an unconditioned attic, the onset of freezing occurred when the outside temperature fell to 20°F or below.”— AdvantaClean, quoting University of Illinois research “Pipes in uninsulated areas—like attics, crawl spaces, or exterior walls—are most at risk, especially when temperatures drop below 20°F.”— State Farm “Water pipes have the potential to freeze and burst when the outside temperature reaches 20 °F or below.”— Texas A&M AgriLife Extension

So what happens at 28°F?

28°F is the National Weather Service's hard-freeze line for plants: “A hard freeze occurs when the surface air temperature reaches 28°F or lower for an extended period of time, killing most types of vegetation.”— NWS glossary For pipes, it's 8 degrees above the risk line the sources give. The exceptions are pipes that see outdoor air: an uninsulated crawl space, an attic, a pipe along an exterior wall, or a spot where wind finds its way in. Fairsky's pipe check reflects that: a heads-up at 25°F (drip any faucets on outside walls or in unheated spaces) and “drip the faucets” at 20°F or colder.

What to do on a hard-freeze night

How often each city drops to 20°F

Average nights per year with lows of 20°F or colder (and 32°F or colder), from NOAA's 1991–2020 normals at the station nearest each city. These are long-term averages, not a forecast.

Average nights per year, NOAA NCEI 1991–2020 Normals (nearest station to each city). Averages, not a forecast.
MetroNights ≤20°FNights ≤32°F
Minneapolis, MN83.8147
Madison, WI81.2157
Colorado Springs, CO68.3160
Omaha, NE61.3134
Albany, NY59.8136
Springfield, MA59.6144
Des Moines, IA59.3128
Syracuse, NY57.4132
Denver, CO55.6150
Worcester, MA53.4130
Rochester, NY53.2129
Milwaukee, WI52.4123
Buffalo, NY50.1124
Grand Rapids, MI49.4143
Scranton, PA45.3122
Akron, OH44.3118
Toledo, OH43.8118
Hartford, CT43.6121
Chicago, IL41.2106
Detroit, MI40.9112
Allentown, PA39.7118
Ogden, UT37.9121
Indianapolis, IN37.4105
Dayton, OH36.3107
Pittsburgh, PA36.0106
Providence, RI34.1109
Harrisburg, PA33.7111
Columbus, OH33.6103
Wichita, KS32.2103
Lancaster, PA32.0111
Kansas City, MO30.893
Provo, UT30.2111
New Haven, CT29.4102
Cincinnati, OH29.3102
St. Louis, MO29.198
Cleveland, OH28.991
Boston, MA28.892
Bridgeport, CT26.292
Boise, ID23.0108
Spokane, WA22.6123
Louisville, KY18.777
Knoxville, TN18.087
Nashville, TN17.775
New York, NY17.167
Chattanooga, TN16.369
Tulsa, OK16.272
Oklahoma City, OK15.172
Salt Lake City, UT13.781
Philadelphia, PA13.462
Albuquerque, NM12.793
Durham, NC12.184
Richmond, VA11.674
Greensboro, NC9.962
Washington, DC9.960
Baltimore, MD8.852
Winston-Salem, NC8.064
Charlotte, NC7.258
Raleigh, NC6.357
Birmingham, AL6.147
Little Rock, AR6.050
Memphis, TN5.945
Virginia Beach, VA4.550
Atlanta, GA4.452
Greenville, SC4.044
Columbia, SC2.033
El Paso, TX2.042
Jackson, MS2.032
Dallas, TX1.723
Seattle, WA1.430
Portland, OR1.018
Augusta, GA0.920
Stockton, CA0.725
Baton Rouge, LA0.618
San Antonio, TX0.522
Austin, TX0.412
Charleston, SC0.16
Bakersfield, CA0.010
Cape Coral, FL0.00
Daytona Beach, FL0.03
Fresno, CA0.011
Houston, TX0.05
Jacksonville, FL0.04
Lakeland, FL0.03
Las Vegas, NV0.011
Los Angeles, CA0.00
McAllen, TX0.01
Melbourne, FL0.02
Miami, FL0.00
Modesto, CA0.012
Orlando, FL0.01
Oxnard, CA0.00
Phoenix, AZ0.01
Riverside, CA0.02
Sacramento, CA0.04
San Diego, CA0.00
San Francisco, CA0.00
San Jose, CA0.02
Sarasota, FL0.01
Tampa, FL0.01
Tucson, AZ0.05

Sources

Quotes were checked on the linked pages in October 2026. Thresholds marked as Fairsky defaults are our own conservative choices, not citations. Product labels differ; your label wins.

Questions

What temperature do pipes freeze?

Texas A&M AgriLife Extension says water pipes can freeze and burst when the outside temperature reaches 20°F or below. Research from the University of Illinois Building Research Council, as quoted by AdvantaClean, found freezing began at 20°F or below for uninsulated pipes in an unconditioned attic.

Should I drip my faucets at 28 degrees?

At 28°F most pipes inside heated walls are above the commonly cited 20°F risk line. Pipes in uninsulated attics, crawl spaces or exterior walls are the exception, especially with wind or drafts. Fairsky sends a heads-up at 25°F and says drip the faucets at 20°F.

What should I set my thermostat to when I'm away in winter?

Texas A&M AgriLife Extension advises no lower than 55°F, with cabinet doors open where there is plumbing.

Fairsky is not a substitute for official warnings. For warnings, go to weather.gov.

Live forecasts: National Weather Service / NOAA (public domain), fetched by your browser. Climate averages: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 (public domain). Project thresholds: product data sheets, ACI and university extension guidance, linked on each page; your product’s label wins.